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May 18, 2007

Market analysis

I am kind of waiting for the market to turn down based on these few factors:
1) china market extremely heated. Prices are rising to ridiculous level even for companies that are making losses last yr. Kind of mirrors the tech bubble in 2000.

2) it has been 10 years since asian crisis. The ten year phenomenon is still like a myth. Yet unexplainable why that happens. I read articles before that the market is cyclical. for it to rise to a new level, it got to go down drastically first.

3) the market has been hovering around the 3500 pts level. If you ever note in past crashes, it always hover ard a level before it actually dips.

Based on these factors, I suggest one to first observe where things are going first. Before deciding on whether to enter the market.
Hence I advise everyone to take profit on stocks that are gaining in your profit, especially property, bank and financial sectors stocks. On those that are in red , only keep defensive stocks. Examples include china fishery, SMRT, SBS and singpost. However, personally I have sold everything already. When the market do crashes or correct greatly, this is where we enter with full force, buying stocks at a bargain(value buy)

1 comment:

Unknown said...

hmmm... china is now taking counter measure... i don think china will crash... apart from china, next yr USA will be having a election... chances of crash maybe slim, but i do believe a healthy correction is coming up. but when, maybe soon or later. no one can prodict this, if i can, then i don think i need to attend ming course liao